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Ujian Punca Unit Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)×Model ARIMA (Autoregresif Bersepadu Purata Bergerak)×Ujian Kointegrasi (Johansen / Engle-Granger)×
BidangEkonometrikEkonometrikEkonometrik
KeluargaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tahun asal197920151988
PengasasDavid A. Dickey & Wayne A. FullerBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Engle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988)
JenisUnit-root test for stationarityUnivariate time-series modelTime-series cointegration test
Sumber perintisDickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366a), 427–431. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254. DOI ↗
AliasADF test, Dickey-Fuller test, unit root test, Genişletilmiş Dickey-Fuller testiBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliJohansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger)
Berkaitan455
RingkasanThe Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test is the most widely used test for a unit root — that is, for whether a time series is non-stationary and must be differenced before modelling. Introduced by David Dickey and Wayne Fuller in 1979 and extended by Said and Dickey in 1984 to series with higher-order autocorrelation, it regresses the change in the series on its lagged level plus lagged differences and asks whether the lagged-level coefficient is zero.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988).
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ScholarGateBandingkan kaedah: Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test · ARIMA · Cointegration Test. Dicapai 2026-06-18 daripada https://scholargate.app/ms/compare