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ARMA modelis (Autoregresīvs vidējais aritmētiskais)×Nelineārais ARDL (NARDL) modelis×
NozareEkonometrijaEkonometrija
SaimeRegression modelRegression model
Izcelsmes gads19702014
AutorsGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsShin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo
TipsTime series modelNonlinear cointegration model
PirmavotsBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗
Citi nosaukumiARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)NARDL, nonlinear bounds test, asymmetric ARDL, asymmetric cointegration model
Saistītās55
KopsavilkumsThe ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing the regressor into cumulative positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a variable exert different effects on the outcome — a feature especially relevant in financial and energy economics where positive and negative shocks rarely cancel out symmetrically.
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ScholarGateSalīdzināt metodes: ARMA model · Nonlinear ARDL. Izgūts 2026-06-19 no https://scholargate.app/lv/compare