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TimesFM: 시계열 예측을 위한 디코더 전용 파운데이션 모델×PatchTST×
분야딥러닝딥러닝
계열Machine learningMachine learning
기원 연도20242023
창시자Abhimanyu Das et al. (Google)Nie, Y. et al.
유형Pre-trained decoder-only transformer for zero-shot time-series forecastingTransformer for time series forecasting
원전Das, A., Kong, W., Sen, R., & Zhou, Y. (2024). A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting. ICML. link ↗Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR. link ↗
별칭Time-series Foundation Model, Google TimesFM, TimesFM forecaster, Zaman Serisi Temel ModeliPatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformer
관련33
요약TimesFM is a pre-trained foundation model for univariate time-series forecasting introduced by Abhimanyu Das, Weihao Kong, Rajat Sen, and Yichen Zhou from Google in 2024. The model adopts a decoder-only transformer architecture, similar in spirit to large language models, and is trained on a large corpus of real-world and synthetic time-series data. Its central innovation is the ability to perform accurate zero-shot forecasting across diverse domains without task-specific fine-tuning.PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.
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