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시변모수 가중최소제곱법 (TVP-WLS)×상태 공간 모형 (칼만 필터)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1976–19901990
창시자Cooley & Prescott (1976); Harvey (1990)Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
유형Time-varying coefficient regression with observation weightsState space time series model
원전Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521405737Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
별칭TVP-WLS, time-varying coefficient WLS, locally weighted time-varying regression, TVP weighted regressionstate space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
관련24
요약Time-Varying Parameter WLS is a regression technique for time-series data in which the slope and intercept coefficients are allowed to change over time while observations are weighted to account for heteroscedasticity or to discount distant data. It combines the flexibility of state-space coefficient evolution with the variance-correcting power of weighted least squares.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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