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Technology Foresight×Horizon Scanning×
분야Science Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19952009
창시자Ben R. Martin, Irene Miles, and the UK/Japanese foresight programmesWilliam J. Sutherland, Effie Amanatidou, and the foresight/scanning community
유형Participatory future-oriented strategic processSystematic search-and-detection process
원전Martin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 7(2), 139-168. DOI ↗Sutherland, W. J., & Woodroof, H. J. (2009). The need for environmental horizon scanning. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 24(10), 523-527. DOI ↗
별칭Foresight studies, Strategic technology forecasting, Future-oriented technology analysisEnvironmental scanning, Weak-signal detection, Emerging-issues analysis
관련44
요약Technology foresight is a systematic, participatory process of looking into the longer-term future of science, technology, the economy, and society in order to identify the areas of strategic research and the emerging generic technologies likely to yield the greatest economic and social benefits. Rather than predicting a single future, it brings experts and stakeholders together to explore plausible futures, build shared visions, and translate them into present-day priorities and action.Horizon scanning is the systematic examination of information to detect early signs of potentially important developments—weak signals, emerging issues, and wild cards—before they become obvious or fully formed. By surveying a wide range of sources at the edge of current attention, it gives decision-makers advance warning of opportunities and threats and supplies the raw material for foresight, scenario building, and anticipatory policy.
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