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System Dynamics Business Strategy Modeling×Agent-Based Model of Competitive Strategy×
분야전략경영전략경영
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19612007
창시자Jay W. Forrester; John D. StermanJason P. Davis, Kathleen M. Eisenhardt & Christopher B. Bingham (simulation-methods roadmap)
유형Feedback-loop (stock-and-flow) simulation of business strategyAgent-based computational simulation of competitive strategy
원전Forrester, J. W. (1961). Industrial Dynamics. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. ISBN: 9780262060035Davis, J. P., Eisenhardt, K. M., & Bingham, C. B. (2007). Developing Theory Through Simulation Methods. Academy of Management Review, 32(2), 480-499. DOI ↗
별칭Business Strategy System Dynamics, Feedback-Loop Strategy Simulation, Stock-and-Flow Business Modeling, Strategy Dynamics SimulationCompetitive Strategy Agent-Based Simulation, Firm-Interaction Simulation Modeling, Computational Model of Competitive Dynamics, Multi-Firm Agent-Based Strategy Model
관련33
요약System dynamics business strategy modeling represents a firm's strategy as a system of stocks, flows, and feedback loops with delays, then simulates the resulting nonlinear behavior to understand why strategies succeed, fail, or backfire over time. Jay Forrester's 1961 Industrial Dynamics founded the field, showing that the feedback structure of a business — orders, inventories, capacity, and the information links that govern them — generates dynamics like amplification and oscillation that no single decision creates. John Sterman's 2000 Business Dynamics turned this into a comprehensive modeling discipline for managers, complete with a structured process for building, testing, and using simulation models. The method gives strategists a way to see how policies ripple through reinforcing and balancing loops, often producing counterintuitive long-run consequences.An agent-based model of competitive strategy represents firms as autonomous, heterogeneous, adaptive agents whose decision rules and local interactions generate emergent industry-level dynamics that no single firm designs. Davis, Eisenhardt, and Bingham's 2007 roadmap for developing theory through simulation places this kind of computational modeling in the sweet spot between inductive case research and formal mathematics, well suited to longitudinal, nonlinear, and interactive strategy phenomena. Instead of solving for an equilibrium, the analyst builds firms with strategies, lets them compete over many simulated periods, and studies the market structures, survival patterns, and performance dispersions that emerge. The method gives strategy researchers a controlled laboratory for theory building about competitive dynamics that are too complex and path-dependent for closed-form analysis.
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