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확률적 이산 사건 시뮬레이션×마르코프 모델×
분야시뮬레이션시뮬레이션
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1960s–1970s1906
창시자Banks, Carson, Nelson, Nicol; Law, A. M.Andrei Markov
유형Stochastic simulation modelProbabilistic state-transition model
원전Banks, J., Carson, J. S., Nelson, B. L., & Nicol, D. M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Prentice Hall. ISBN: 9780136062127Norris, J. R. (1997). Markov Chains. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. ISBN: 9780521633963
별칭Stochastic DES, SDES, Probabilistic DES, Monte Carlo DESMarkov Chain, Discrete-Time Markov Chain, DTMC, Markov Process
관련65
요약Stochastic Discrete-Event Simulation (Stochastic DES) models complex systems by advancing simulated time from one discrete event to the next, drawing event durations and inter-arrival times from fitted probability distributions. It is the standard technique for analyzing queues, manufacturing lines, healthcare pathways, and logistics networks under uncertainty, producing output statistics with confidence intervals.A Markov Model represents a system as a finite set of states and specifies the probability of moving from one state to another at each time step. By capturing only the current state — not the full history — it enables tractable analysis of complex dynamic processes across health economics, engineering reliability, operations research, and social-science modeling.
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