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공간 합성 통제 방법×공간 단절 시계열 분석×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2003–2010s1990s–2000s
창시자Abadie & Gardeazabal (2003); extended to spatial settings by subsequent applied econometric workExtension of McDowall et al. (1980) ITS framework; spatial adaptations developed in epidemiology and geography through the 1990s–2000s
유형Quasi-experimental causal inferenceQuasi-experimental causal inference with spatial adjustment
원전Abadie, A., & Gardeazabal, J. (2003). The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country. American Economic Review, 93(1), 113-132. DOI ↗McDowall, D., McCleary, R., Meidinger, E. E., & Hay, R. A. (1980). Interrupted Time Series Analysis. Sage Publications. ISBN: 978-0803913950
별칭spatial SCM, geographic synthetic control, spatial SC, spatial counterfactual controlSpatial ITS, Geospatial ITS, Spatially-adjusted ITS, SITS
관련66
요약The Spatial Synthetic Control Method adapts the classic synthetic control framework to settings where treated and donor units are defined by geographic location. By constructing a weighted combination of spatially proximate or comparable control regions, the method estimates what would have happened to a treated area absent the intervention, while explicitly accounting for geographic spillovers, spatial autocorrelation, and contiguity among units.Spatial Interrupted Time Series (Spatial ITS) extends the classic ITS design to settings where units are geo-referenced and outcomes in one location may spill over into or correlate with outcomes in neighbouring locations. It estimates the causal effect of a discrete intervention on an outcome time series while explicitly modelling geographic autocorrelation, preventing biased standard errors and enabling detection of spatial spillovers.
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