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Singulate Mean Age at Marriage×생명표 분석×
분야인구학인구학
계열Process / pipelineSurvival analysis
기원 연도19531984
창시자John HajnalDemographic/actuarial tradition; Chiang
유형Indirect estimate of mean age at first marriage from census proportionsAge-structured mortality estimator
원전Hajnal, J. (1953). Age at marriage and proportions marrying. Population Studies, 7(2), 111–136. DOI ↗Chiang, C. L. (1984). The Life Table and Its Applications. Robert E. Krieger Publishing. ISBN: 978-0-89874-565-2
별칭SMAM, Hajnal's Mean Age at Marriage, Singulate Mean Age at First MarriageMortality Table, Actuarial Table, Survival Table, Yaşam Tablosu
관련43
요약The singulate mean age at marriage (SMAM) is an indirect demographic estimate of the average age at first marriage, computed entirely from the proportions of people who have never married by age, as recorded in a single census or survey. Introduced by John Hajnal in 1953, it sidesteps the need for registered marriage dates: by treating the never-married proportions as a synthetic-cohort survival curve in the single state, it recovers the mean number of years lived single before first marriage among those who eventually marry.A life table is a systematic, age-structured summary of the mortality experience of a population. It traces a hypothetical cohort of births — conventionally 100,000 — through successive age intervals, recording how many survive, how many die, and how many person-years are lived at each interval. The method was formalized in its modern probabilistic form by Chiang (1984), synthesizing centuries of actuarial and demographic practice into a rigorous statistical framework applicable to human and biological populations alike.
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