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시뮬레이션 보조 추세 연구×트렌드 연구×
분야연구설계연구설계
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1990s–2000s (convergence of computational simulation with survey-based trend designs)Mid-20th century (formalised in social science methodology ~1950s–1960s)
창시자Synthesized from trend research (Creswell) and Monte Carlo / agent-based simulation traditions (Mooney, 1997)Earl Babbie and survey research tradition
유형Quantitative research design with computational augmentationQuantitative longitudinal research design
원전Creswell, J. W., & Creswell, J. D. (2023). Research Design: Qualitative, Quantitative, and Mixed Methods Approaches (6th ed.). SAGE Publications. ISBN: 978-1071817971Creswell, J. W. (2014). Research Design: Qualitative, Quantitative, and Mixed Methods Approaches (4th ed.). Sage. ISBN: 978-1452226101
별칭simulation-augmented trend study, Monte Carlo trend research, computational trend analysis, simulation-based longitudinal trend designtrend study, trend survey, longitudinal trend study, time-series survey
관련44
요약Simulation-assisted trend research combines repeated cross-sectional survey data collected at multiple time points with computational simulation techniques — such as Monte Carlo methods or agent-based modeling — to project, validate, and stress-test observed trends. It extends classic trend research by replacing or supplementing extrapolation with probabilistic scenario modeling, allowing researchers to quantify uncertainty around trend trajectories and explore counterfactual futures under varying assumptions.Trend research is a longitudinal quantitative design that tracks changes in a characteristic of a general population over time by surveying different, independently drawn samples at two or more time points. Unlike panel studies, the same individuals are not followed; rather, each wave draws a fresh sample from the same population, allowing researchers to detect population-level shifts in attitudes, behaviours, or conditions while avoiding the attrition and panel conditioning problems of repeated-measures designs.
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ScholarGate방법 비교: Simulation-Assisted Trend Research · Trend Research. 2026-06-18에 다음에서 검색함: https://scholargate.app/ko/compare