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시뮬레이션 기반 고장 모드 및 영향 분석×사건수 분석 (ETA)×
분야실험설계신뢰성
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1949 (FMEA); simulation-assisted variant: 1980s–1990s2002
창시자FMEA originates from US MIL-P-1629 (1949); simulation integration developed in reliability engineering from the 1980s–1990sAndrews & Moss
유형Reliability and risk analysis methodForward inductive logic tree
원전Stamatis, D. H. (2003). Failure Mode and Effect Analysis: FMEA from Theory to Execution (2nd ed.). ASQ Quality Press. ISBN: 978-0873895989Andrews, J. D., & Moss, T. R. (2002). Reliability and Risk Assessment (2nd ed.). Professional Engineering Publishing. ISBN: 978-1-86058-290-5
별칭Simulation-FMEA, Monte Carlo FMEA, Simulation-based FMEA, SA-FMEAETA, Event Sequence Diagram Analysis, Initiating Event Analysis, Olay Ağacı Analizi
관련62
요약Simulation-assisted FMEA enhances the classical Failure Mode and Effects Analysis by replacing point-estimate occurrence ratings with probabilistic simulation — typically Monte Carlo — to quantify failure probability distributions across a system's components. This yields statistically grounded Risk Priority Numbers (RPNs) rather than expert guesses, enabling more rigorous identification and prioritization of critical failure modes in complex engineering systems.Event Tree Analysis (ETA) is a forward inductive technique used in reliability and risk engineering to model the possible outcomes that follow an initiating event. Starting from a single undesired event, ETA traces all subsequent event sequences through a binary branching tree representing the success or failure of safety barriers and protective systems. Introduced formally in reliability and risk literature by Andrews and Moss (2002), it is widely applied in nuclear, chemical, and aerospace industries to quantify accident sequence probabilities and guide safety decision-making.
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