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민감도와 특이도×귀무가설 검정×
분야연구 통계연구 통계
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19781925
창시자Multiple sources in medical diagnosis and signal detectionRonald Fisher; Neyman & Pearson
유형ConceptConcept
원전Altman, D. G., & Bland, J. M. (1994). Diagnostic tests 1: Sensitivity and specificity. BMJ, 308(6943), 1552. link ↗Fisher, R. A. (1925). Statistical Methods for Research Workers. Oliver and Boyd. link ↗
별칭diagnostic accuracy, true positive rate, true negative rate, receiver operating characteristicNHST, hypothesis formulation, null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis
관련44
요약Sensitivity and specificity are fundamental metrics of diagnostic test accuracy. Sensitivity is the probability that a test correctly identifies a person with the disease (true positive rate: TP / (TP + FN)). Specificity is the probability that a test correctly identifies a person without the disease (true negative rate: TN / (TN + FP)). Every test involves a trade-off: increasing sensitivity (catching all sick people) often reduces specificity (more false alarms). Choice of test threshold depends on the clinical context: screening for serious diseases favors sensitivity; confirming a diagnosis favors specificity.Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) is the dominant statistical framework in empirical research. The null hypothesis (H₀) represents the default assumption—typically 'no effect' or 'no difference'—while the alternative hypothesis (H₁) represents the claim being tested. The test calculates the probability of observing the data given H₀ is true (p-value); if p is very small, H₀ is rejected in favor of H₁. Formulated by Ronald Fisher and extended by Neyman and Pearson in the early 20th century, NHST is foundational to confirmatory research but has been widely critiqued for misuse and misinterpretation.
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