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강건 벡터 자기회귀 (Robust VAR) 모형×구조적 벡터 자기회귀 (SVAR)×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1980s–2000s1980
창시자Extensions by Lutkepohl and others building on Sims (1980) VAR frameworkSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
유형Multivariate time-series model with robust estimationMultivariate time series model
원전Goncalves, S., & Kilian, L. (2004). Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form. Journal of Econometrics, 123(1), 89-120. DOI ↗Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗
별칭robust VAR, outlier-robust VAR, heavy-tailed VAR, RVARSVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
관련55
요약The Robust VAR model extends the classical Vector Autoregression framework by replacing ordinary least squares estimation with robust estimators — such as M-estimators or median-based methods — to reduce the influence of outliers, structural breaks, and heavy-tailed shocks common in financial and macroeconomic time series.Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.
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