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| Robust Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH (Robust DCC-GARCH)× | 강건 GARCH 모형× | |
|---|---|---|
| 분야 | 계량경제학 | 계량경제학 |
| 계열 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 기원 연도≠ | 2002–2021 | 1986–2013 |
| 창시자≠ | Engle (2002) for DCC; robust extensions by Pakel, Shephard, Sheppard, and Engle (2021) | Boudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986) |
| 유형≠ | Multivariate volatility model with robust estimation | Volatility model |
| 원전≠ | Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339–350. DOI ↗ | Boudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗ |
| 별칭 | robust DCC-GARCH, robust dynamic conditional correlation, outlier-robust DCC, composite-likelihood DCC-GARCH | Robust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility model |
| 관련≠ | 6 | 5 |
| 요약≠ | The Robust DCC-GARCH model extends Engle's (2002) Dynamic Conditional Correlation framework by replacing standard quasi-maximum likelihood estimation with outlier-resistant or composite-likelihood techniques. This preserves accurate time-varying correlation estimation even when financial return data contain extreme observations, heavy tails, or structural irregularities. | The Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates. |
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