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Robust Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH (Robust DCC-GARCH)×강건 GARCH 모형×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도2002–20211986–2013
창시자Engle (2002) for DCC; robust extensions by Pakel, Shephard, Sheppard, and Engle (2021)Boudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)
유형Multivariate volatility model with robust estimationVolatility model
원전Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339–350. DOI ↗Boudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗
별칭robust DCC-GARCH, robust dynamic conditional correlation, outlier-robust DCC, composite-likelihood DCC-GARCHRobust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility model
관련65
요약The Robust DCC-GARCH model extends Engle's (2002) Dynamic Conditional Correlation framework by replacing standard quasi-maximum likelihood estimation with outlier-resistant or composite-likelihood techniques. This preserves accurate time-varying correlation estimation even when financial return data contain extreme observations, heavy tails, or structural irregularities.The Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.
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