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위험 기반 사건 트리 분석×위험 기반 고장 트리 분석×
분야실험설계실험설계
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1975 (WASH-1400); risk-based integration formalized through 1980s–1990s PRA practice1961 (FTA origin); risk-based integration formalised 1975–1981
창시자Originated in nuclear industry (US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, WASH-1400 report); risk-based framing developed through probabilistic risk assessment practiceH.A. Watson (Bell Labs) and developed further by Boeing/U.S. Air Force; risk-based extension via NRC probabilistic risk assessment programs
유형Risk and reliability analysis techniqueQuantitative safety and reliability analysis
원전Bedford, T., & Cooke, R. (2001). Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521773201Vesely, W. E., Goldberg, F. F., Roberts, N. H., & Haasl, D. F. (1981). Fault Tree Handbook. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, NUREG-0492. link ↗
별칭Risk-based ETA, probabilistic event tree analysis, consequence-probability event tree, risk-informed ETARB-FTA, risk-informed FTA, quantitative fault tree analysis, probabilistic fault tree analysis
관련46
요약Risk-based event tree analysis is a forward-looking, inductive risk assessment technique that models the consequences of an initiating event by tracing binary success/failure branches through safety barriers, then weights each outcome path by its probability to produce quantified risk estimates. Widely applied in nuclear, chemical process, aviation, and infrastructure safety engineering, it sits at the heart of probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) and supports both design decisions and regulatory compliance.Risk-based fault tree analysis (RB-FTA) combines classical fault tree analysis with explicit quantitative risk assessment. Starting from an undesired top event, the analyst decomposes it into contributing causes using AND/OR logic gates, assigns failure probabilities to basic events from reliability databases or historical data, and then propagates those probabilities through the tree to compute top-event likelihood. The result is expressed as risk — probability weighted by consequence severity — enabling prioritisation of safety interventions by their actual risk reduction impact.
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ScholarGate방법 비교: Risk-based event tree analysis · Risk-based fault tree analysis. 2026-06-18에 다음에서 검색함: https://scholargate.app/ko/compare