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Recidivism Survival Analysis×생존 회귀×
분야Criminology통계학
계열Survival analysisRegression model
기원 연도19881980s
창시자David R. Cox (method); Peter Schmidt & Ann Dryden Witte (criminological application)Kalbfleisch & Prentice; Cox & Oakes
유형Time-to-event regression for reoffendingParametric survival model
원전Cox, D. R. (1972). Regression models and life-tables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 34(2), 187–202. DOI ↗Kalbfleisch, J. D., & Prentice, R. L. (2002). The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data (2nd ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-0471363576
별칭Time-to-Recidivism Modeling, Recidivism Hazard Modeling, Failure-Time Analysis of Reoffending, Survival Analysis of Reoffendingaccelerated failure time model, AFT model, parametric survival model, time-to-event regression
관련43
요약Recidivism survival analysis models the time from a release or index event until an individual reoffends, treating reoffending as a time-to-event ('failure') outcome with censoring for those not observed to fail. It applies survival methods — Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox proportional-hazards regression, and split-population models — to answer not just whether someone recidivates but how quickly and what raises or lowers that risk over time.Survival regression models the time until an event occurs — such as death, failure, or relapse — as a function of covariates. Unlike ordinary regression, it properly accounts for censored observations (cases where the event had not yet occurred at the end of follow-up) by specifying a parametric distribution for the survival time and estimating covariate effects via maximum likelihood.
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