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분야시뮬레이션시뮬레이션
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19571906
창시자Bellman, Richard E.Andrei Markov
유형Sequential optimization with scenario branchingProbabilistic state-transition model
원전Bellman, R. (1957). Dynamic Programming. Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ. ISBN: 9780691079516Norris, J. R. (1997). Markov Chains. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. ISBN: 9780521633963
별칭PSDP, Policy-Scenario DP, Scenario-Based Dynamic Programming, Policy DPMarkov Chain, Discrete-Time Markov Chain, DTMC, Markov Process
관련55
요약Policy Scenario Dynamic Programming (PSDP) applies Bellman's recursive optimization framework to a set of pre-specified policy scenarios, enabling decision-makers to compare staged, sequential decisions under distinct future conditions. It decomposes a complex, multi-period policy choice into tractable sub-problems solved backward through time, yielding optimal action sequences for each scenario and a structured basis for scenario comparison.A Markov Model represents a system as a finite set of states and specifies the probability of moving from one state to another at each time step. By capturing only the current state — not the full history — it enables tractable analysis of complex dynamic processes across health economics, engineering reliability, operations research, and social-science modeling.
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