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정책 평가 패널 사건 연구×합성 통제 방법 (SCM)×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20212010
창시자Callaway & Sant'Anna (2021); Borusyak, Jaravel & Spiess (2024); Sun & Abraham (2021)Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller
유형Causal inference / quasi-experimental panel designCounterfactual causal-inference model
원전Callaway, B., & Sant'Anna, P. H. C. (2021). Difference-in-differences with multiple time periods. Journal of Econometrics, 225(2), 200-230. DOI ↗Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗
별칭panel event study, event-study DiD, staggered event study, difference-in-differences event studysynthetic control method, SCM, synthetic counterfactual, Sentetik Kontrol Yöntemi (SCM)
관련65
요약A panel event study is a quasi-experimental design that traces how an outcome evolves in periods before and after a policy event, using unit and time fixed effects to identify the causal effect. Widely used in economics and policy research, it tests for anticipation effects, verifies parallel pre-trends, and estimates dynamic treatment effects across post-treatment horizons — making it the standard toolkit for rigorous policy evaluation with observational panel data.The Synthetic Control Method, introduced by Abadie, Diamond and Hainmueller in 2010, builds a weighted counterfactual for a single treated unit from a pool of untreated donor units. It is widely regarded as the gold standard for evaluating large policy interventions, natural experiments, and N=1 case studies where no obvious comparison unit exists.
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