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| Policy Evaluation Instrumental Variables× | 국소 평균 처리 효과 (LATE / CACE)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 분야 | 인과추론 | 인과추론 |
| 계열 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 기원 연도≠ | 1996 (modern policy-evaluation framing); IV roots 1920s | 1994 |
| 창시자≠ | Angrist, Imbens & Rubin (canonical 1996 JASA framework); foundational IV roots in Wright (1928) and Theil (1953) | Imbens & Angrist (1994); Angrist, Imbens & Rubin (1996) |
| 유형≠ | Quasi-experimental causal inference / IV regression | Instrumental-variable causal estimand |
| 원전≠ | Angrist, J. D., Imbens, G. W., & Rubin, D. B. (1996). Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 91(434), 444-455. DOI ↗ | Imbens, G. W., & Angrist, J. D. (1994). Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects. Econometrica, 62(2), 467-475. DOI ↗ |
| 별칭 | IV policy evaluation, 2SLS policy analysis, natural-experiment IV, policy IV estimation | LATE, CACE, complier average causal effect, Yerel Ortalama Tedavi Etkisi (LATE / CACE) |
| 관련 | 5 | 5 |
| 요약≠ | Instrumental Variables (IV) estimation for policy evaluation is a quasi-experimental technique that uses an exogenous instrument — a variable that shifts exposure to a policy but is otherwise unrelated to the outcome — to recover the causal effect of a program or intervention from non-experimental data. Popularised in policy research by Angrist, Imbens, and Rubin (1996), it identifies the Local Average Treatment Effect (LATE) among units whose treatment status is changed by the instrument. | The Local Average Treatment Effect is an instrumental-variable estimand, introduced by Imbens and Angrist (1994) and formalised with Rubin (1996), that recovers the average treatment effect for the subpopulation of compliers — units whose treatment status is actually moved by the instrument. It is closely tied to compliance analysis. |
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