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Policy Evaluation Instrumental Variables×국소 평균 처리 효과 (LATE / CACE)×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1996 (modern policy-evaluation framing); IV roots 1920s1994
창시자Angrist, Imbens & Rubin (canonical 1996 JASA framework); foundational IV roots in Wright (1928) and Theil (1953)Imbens & Angrist (1994); Angrist, Imbens & Rubin (1996)
유형Quasi-experimental causal inference / IV regressionInstrumental-variable causal estimand
원전Angrist, J. D., Imbens, G. W., & Rubin, D. B. (1996). Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 91(434), 444-455. DOI ↗Imbens, G. W., & Angrist, J. D. (1994). Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects. Econometrica, 62(2), 467-475. DOI ↗
별칭IV policy evaluation, 2SLS policy analysis, natural-experiment IV, policy IV estimationLATE, CACE, complier average causal effect, Yerel Ortalama Tedavi Etkisi (LATE / CACE)
관련55
요약Instrumental Variables (IV) estimation for policy evaluation is a quasi-experimental technique that uses an exogenous instrument — a variable that shifts exposure to a policy but is otherwise unrelated to the outcome — to recover the causal effect of a program or intervention from non-experimental data. Popularised in policy research by Angrist, Imbens, and Rubin (1996), it identifies the Local Average Treatment Effect (LATE) among units whose treatment status is changed by the instrument.The Local Average Treatment Effect is an instrumental-variable estimand, introduced by Imbens and Angrist (1994) and formalised with Rubin (1996), that recovers the average treatment effect for the subpopulation of compliers — units whose treatment status is actually moved by the instrument. It is closely tied to compliance analysis.
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