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Parity Progression Ratio×Net Reproduction Rate×
분야인구학인구학
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19532001
창시자Louis Henry (formalized in modern demography)Richard Böckh and Robert Kuczynski (formalized in Preston, Heuveline & Guillot)
유형Order-specific fertility measure built from a sequence of conditional progression probabilitiesPeriod measure of generational replacement combining fertility and mortality
원전Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512
별칭PPR, Birth progression ratio, Parity progression probability, Doğum Sırası İlerleme OranıNRR, Net reproduction ratio, Net reproductive rate, Net Üreme Hızı
관련44
요약A parity progression ratio is the conditional probability that a woman who has already had a given number of children goes on to have one more. By converting a static parity distribution into a sequence of birth-by-birth transition probabilities, the method reveals where childbearing stops within a cohort and lets demographers rebuild completed fertility from the bottom up. It is the natural fertility analogue of a survival or life-table transition, treating each additional birth as a further step a woman may or may not take.The net reproduction rate (NRR) is the demographic measure of generational replacement: the average number of daughters a woman would bear who survive to the age their mother was when she bore them, given the period's age-specific fertility rates and female mortality. By combining fertility with survival, the NRR answers the fundamental question of whether a population is replacing itself — an NRR of one means each generation of women exactly reproduces the next, below one signals long-run decline, and above one signals growth.
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