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Parity Progression Ratio×생명표 분석×
분야인구학인구학
계열Process / pipelineSurvival analysis
기원 연도19531984
창시자Louis Henry (formalized in modern demography)Demographic/actuarial tradition; Chiang
유형Order-specific fertility measure built from a sequence of conditional progression probabilitiesAge-structured mortality estimator
원전Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512Chiang, C. L. (1984). The Life Table and Its Applications. Robert E. Krieger Publishing. ISBN: 978-0-89874-565-2
별칭PPR, Birth progression ratio, Parity progression probability, Doğum Sırası İlerleme OranıMortality Table, Actuarial Table, Survival Table, Yaşam Tablosu
관련43
요약A parity progression ratio is the conditional probability that a woman who has already had a given number of children goes on to have one more. By converting a static parity distribution into a sequence of birth-by-birth transition probabilities, the method reveals where childbearing stops within a cohort and lets demographers rebuild completed fertility from the bottom up. It is the natural fertility analogue of a survival or life-table transition, treating each additional birth as a further step a woman may or may not take.A life table is a systematic, age-structured summary of the mortality experience of a population. It traces a hypothetical cohort of births — conventionally 100,000 — through successive age intervals, recording how many survive, how many die, and how many person-years are lived at each interval. The method was formalized in its modern probabilistic form by Chiang (1984), synthesizing centuries of actuarial and demographic practice into a rigorous statistical framework applicable to human and biological populations alike.
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