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Own-Children Method×Total Fertility Rate×
분야인구학인구학
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19862001
창시자Lee-Jay Cho, Robert D. Retherford & Minja Kim ChoeClassical demographic index (formalized by Preston, Heuveline & Guillot)
유형Indirect reverse-survival estimation of age-specific fertility from census microdataPeriod summary fertility index synthesizing age-specific fertility rates
원전Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512
별칭OCM, Own-children fertility estimation, Reverse-survival fertility estimation from matched children, Kendi Çocukları YöntemiTFR, Period total fertility rate, Sum of age-specific fertility rates, Toplam Doğurganlık Hızı
관련44
요약The own-children method is an indirect technique for estimating age-specific fertility rates for the years preceding a census or survey, using only a single cross-sectional dataset in which children can be linked to their mothers within the same household. By reverse-surviving matched mother-child pairs back through time, it reconstructs annual birth rates and total fertility for roughly the previous 15 years without requiring any vital-registration data on births.The total fertility rate (TFR) is the central period measure of fertility in demography: the average number of children a woman would bear over her lifetime if she experienced, at each age, the age-specific fertility rates observed in a given year. Computed by summing age-specific fertility rates across the reproductive ages, the TFR removes the influence of population age structure and gives a single, intuitive figure — children per woman — that is comparable across populations and over time.
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