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Own-Children Method×Net Reproduction Rate×
분야인구학인구학
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19862001
창시자Lee-Jay Cho, Robert D. Retherford & Minja Kim ChoeRichard Böckh and Robert Kuczynski (formalized in Preston, Heuveline & Guillot)
유형Indirect reverse-survival estimation of age-specific fertility from census microdataPeriod measure of generational replacement combining fertility and mortality
원전Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512
별칭OCM, Own-children fertility estimation, Reverse-survival fertility estimation from matched children, Kendi Çocukları YöntemiNRR, Net reproduction ratio, Net reproductive rate, Net Üreme Hızı
관련44
요약The own-children method is an indirect technique for estimating age-specific fertility rates for the years preceding a census or survey, using only a single cross-sectional dataset in which children can be linked to their mothers within the same household. By reverse-surviving matched mother-child pairs back through time, it reconstructs annual birth rates and total fertility for roughly the previous 15 years without requiring any vital-registration data on births.The net reproduction rate (NRR) is the demographic measure of generational replacement: the average number of daughters a woman would bear who survive to the age their mother was when she bore them, given the period's age-specific fertility rates and female mortality. By combining fertility with survival, the NRR answers the fundamental question of whether a population is replacing itself — an NRR of one means each generation of women exactly reproduces the next, below one signals long-run decline, and above one signals growth.
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