방법 비교

	Non-stationary Transformer	상태 공간 모형 (칼만 필터)
분야	딥러닝	계량경제학
계열	Machine learning	Regression model
기원 연도	2022	1990
창시자	Yong Liu et al.	Harvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
유형	Transformer-based time-series forecasting model	State space time series model
원전	Liu, Y., Wu, H., Wang, J., & Long, M. (2022). Non-stationary transformers: Exploring the stationarity in time series forecasting. NeurIPS.	Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press.
별칭	NS-Transformer, Non-stationary Transformer Network, Stationarization-based Transformer, Durağan-Olmayan Transformer	state space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
관련	3	4
요약	Non-stationary Transformer is a Transformer-based time-series forecasting architecture introduced by Yong Liu, Haixu Wu, Jianmin Wang, and Mingsheng Long at NeurIPS 2022. It addresses a fundamental tension in applying Transformers to real-world time series: over-stationarization during preprocessing strips out non-stationary signals that carry predictive information, while raw non-stationary inputs cause attention to collapse. The model resolves this through series stationarization paired with a novel de-stationary attention mechanism that restores the original temporal distribution in predictions.	A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.