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비선형 그레인저 인과관계 검정×Toda-Yamamoto 인과관계 검정×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도1992-20061995
창시자Baek & Brock (1992); Hiemstra & Jones (1994); Diks & Panchenko (2006)Toda, H. Y. and Yamamoto, T.
유형Nonparametric causality testCausality test
원전Diks, C., & Panchenko, V. (2006). A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30(9-10), 1647-1669. DOI ↗Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250. DOI ↗
별칭nonlinear causality test, BDS-based causality, Diks-Panchenko test, nonparametric Granger causalityToda-Yamamoto test, TY causality test, modified Wald test for Granger causality, TY-MWALD
관련65
요약Nonlinear Granger causality extends the classic linear Granger causality framework to detect predictive relationships that operate through nonlinear dynamics. Using nonparametric or semi-parametric statistics based on correlation integrals or kernel density estimation, it identifies whether past values of one variable improve forecasts of another beyond what any linear model can capture.The Toda-Yamamoto (TY) causality test is a modified Wald procedure for testing Granger causality in vector autoregressions (VARs) estimated in levels, even when variables are nonstationary or cointegrated. By intentionally over-fitting the VAR with extra lags equal to the maximum integration order, it restores the standard chi-squared asymptotic distribution of the Wald statistic without requiring prior unit-root or cointegration pretesting.
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