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N-BEATS×DeepAR×
분야딥러닝딥러닝
계열Machine learningMachine learning
기원 연도20202020
창시자Oreshkin, B.N. et al.Salinas, D., Flunkert, V. & Gasthaus, J. (Amazon)
유형Deep neural forecasting architecture (interpretable basis expansion)Autoregressive recurrent neural network (probabilistic forecasting)
원전Oreshkin, B.N. et al. (2020). N-BEATS: Neural Basis Expansion Analysis for Interpretable Time Series Forecasting. ICLR. link ↗Salinas, D., Flunkert, V., Gasthaus, J. & Januschowski, T. (2020). DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networks. International Journal of Forecasting, 36(3), 1181–1191. DOI ↗
별칭N-BEATS — Nöral Zaman Serisi Tahmini, Neural Basis Expansion Analysis, neural basis expansionDeepAR — Olasılıksal RNN Tahmini, probabilistic autoregressive RNN forecasting, Amazon DeepAR
관련55
요약N-BEATS is a deep learning architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Oreshkin and colleagues in 2020, built from interpretable trend and seasonality stacks. It was the first purely neural forecasting model to reach state-of-the-art performance on the M4 competition without relying on any classical statistical components.DeepAR is Amazon's industrial forecasting model, introduced by Salinas, Flunkert and Gasthaus (2017; published 2020), that uses an autoregressive recurrent neural network to estimate the parameters of a probability distribution at each step, producing a confidence interval rather than a single point forecast. It can model many related time series jointly within one model.
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