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Multiregional Demography×안정 인구 이론×
분야인구학인구학
계열Process / pipelineRegression model
기원 연도19751972
창시자Andrei RogersAlfred J. Lotka; Ansley Coale
유형Matrix framework for multiregional population dynamics with migrationMathematical demographic model
원전Rogers, A. (1975). Introduction to Multiregional Mathematical Demography. John Wiley & Sons, New York. ISBN: 9780471730354Coale, A. J. (1972). The Growth and Structure of Human Populations: A Mathematical Investigation. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0-691-09357-4
별칭Multiregional Population Analysis, Multiregional Life Table, Rogers Multiregional ModelLotka-Coale Stable Population Model, Stable Age Distribution Theory, Stationary Population Theory, Kararlı Nüfus Teorisi
관련42
요약Multiregional demography extends the classical tools of mathematical demography — the life table, the Leslie matrix, and stable-population theory — from a single closed population to a system of interconnected regions linked by migration. Developed by Andrei Rogers, it tracks people not only by age but by region of residence, modeling birth, death, and interregional movement simultaneously. The result is a unified matrix framework that yields multiregional life tables, projections, and stable regional population shares, making it the foundation for analyzing how migration shapes the size and distribution of populations across space.Stable Population Theory is a mathematical framework in demography that describes the age structure and growth dynamics of a closed population subject to constant age-specific fertility and mortality schedules over a long period. Foundational work by Alfred J. Lotka established the core integral equation in the early twentieth century, and Ansley Coale's 1972 mathematical synthesis became the definitive theoretical reference, showing that any population exposed to invariant vital rates will converge to a unique stable age distribution growing at a fixed intrinsic rate of natural increase.
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