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전문가 혼합×TimesFM: 시계열 예측을 위한 디코더 전용 파운데이션 모델×
분야딥러닝딥러닝
계열Machine learningMachine learning
기원 연도20172024
창시자Shazeer, N. et al.Abhimanyu Das et al. (Google)
유형Sparse neural network architecture (conditional computation)Pre-trained decoder-only transformer for zero-shot time-series forecasting
원전Shazeer, N. et al. (2017). Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layer. ICLR. arXiv:1701.06538 link ↗Das, A., Kong, W., Sen, R., & Zhou, Y. (2024). A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting. ICML. link ↗
별칭Uzman Karışımı (Mixture of Experts — MoE), uzman karışımı, MoE, sparse mixture of expertsTime-series Foundation Model, Google TimesFM, TimesFM forecaster, Zaman Serisi Temel Modeli
관련33
요약Mixture of Experts (MoE) is a sparse neural-network architecture, introduced by Shazeer and colleagues in 2017 with the sparsely-gated MoE layer, in which only a subset of expert sub-networks is activated for each input. As seen in models such as Switch Transformer and Mixtral, it holds computation cost fixed even as the total parameter count grows.TimesFM is a pre-trained foundation model for univariate time-series forecasting introduced by Abhimanyu Das, Weihao Kong, Rajat Sen, and Yichen Zhou from Google in 2024. The model adopts a decoder-only transformer architecture, similar in spirit to large language models, and is trained on a large corpus of real-world and synthetic time-series data. Its central innovation is the ability to perform accurate zero-shot forecasting across diverse domains without task-specific fine-tuning.
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