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MIDAS 회귀: 혼합 데이터 빈도에 걸친 예측×ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) 모형×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20072015
창시자Eric Ghysels, Arthur Sinko & Rossen ValkanovBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
유형Parametric mixed-frequency forecasting modelUnivariate time-series model
원전Ghysels, E., Sinko, A., & Valkanov, R. (2007). MIDAS regressions: Further results and new directions. Econometric Reviews, 26(1), 53–90. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
별칭Mixed Frequency Regression, Mixed Data Sampling Model, High-Frequency Forecasting Regression, MIDAS RegresyonuBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
관련35
요약MIDAS (Mixed Data Sampling) Regression is an econometric framework that directly incorporates high-frequency predictors into models for lower-frequency outcome variables without requiring temporal aggregation of the regressors. Introduced by Eric Ghysels, Arthur Sinko, and Rossen Valkanov in 2007, MIDAS uses parsimoniously parameterized lag polynomials — such as the Beta or Exponential Almon weighting schemes — to summarize the information content of many high-frequency lags while avoiding parameter proliferation.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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