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의료 경제학에서의 마르코프 연쇄 모형×비용-편익 분석(CBA)×
분야보건경제학보건경제학
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19831970s
창시자Beck & Pauker (medical decision analysis, Massachusetts General Hospital)Boardman, Greenberg, and colleagues (welfare economics)
유형MethodMethod
원전Beck, J. R., & Pauker, S. G. (1983). The Markov Process in Medical Prognosis. Medical Decision Making, 3(4), 419-458. DOI ↗Boardman, A. E., Greenberg, D. H., Vining, A. R., & Weimer, D. L. (2018). Cost-Benefit Analysis: Concepts and Practice (5th ed.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. link ↗
별칭Markov model, state transition model, cohort simulationCBA, economic appraisal, benefit-cost ratio
관련55
요약A Markov model is a decision-analytic tool that simulates disease progression through defined health states over time, calculating cumulative costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) to enable cost-effectiveness analysis. Developed by Beck and Pauker in 1983, Markov models are now the standard framework for projecting long-term outcomes of health interventions, especially chronic diseases where patients transition between clinical states (treatment response, disease progression, remission, death). Used by health technology assessment bodies and pharmaceutical companies to predict intervention value beyond trial duration.Cost-benefit analysis compares the total monetary value of benefits produced by a program against its total monetary costs, reporting net present value (NPV) or benefit-cost ratio (BCR). Rooted in welfare economics and used extensively in public policy (transportation, environmental, education, health), CBA answers the question: 'Is this program worth doing from a societal perspective?' Unlike cost-effectiveness analysis, CBA monetizes both costs and benefits, enabling comparison across disparate program types.
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ScholarGate방법 비교: Markov Model in Health Economics · Cost-Benefit Analysis. 2026-06-20에 다음에서 검색함: https://scholargate.app/ko/compare