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퍼지 인지 지도 (Fuzzy Cognitive Maps, FCM)×시스템 다이내믹스×
분야소프트 컴퓨팅시뮬레이션
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19861961
창시자Bart KoskoJay W. Forrester
유형Fuzzy causal/feedback network for scenario analysisContinuous simulation / feedback modelling
원전Kosko, B. (1986). Fuzzy cognitive maps. International Journal of Man-Machine Studies, 24(1), 65–75. DOI ↗Sterman, J.D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0072389159
별칭FCM, Kosko cognitive map, causal cognitive map, bulanık bilişsel haritalarstock-flow modelling, Sistem Dinamiği (Stock-Flow Modelleme), SD modelling, feedback simulation
관련43
요약A fuzzy cognitive map, introduced by Bart Kosko in 1986, represents a system as a network of concepts connected by signed, weighted causal links, and simulates how the concepts influence one another over time. By combining the intuitive structure of a cognitive map with fuzzy weights and iterative activation, FCMs let experts encode causal knowledge and then run what-if scenarios — making them popular for policy analysis, strategic decision-making, and modelling complex socio-technical systems.System dynamics is a continuous simulation method, developed by Jay W. Forrester at MIT in 1961, that represents a complex system through stocks (accumulations), flows (rates of change), and feedback loops. By expressing these relationships as coupled ordinary differential equations, it reproduces how policies, delays, and nonlinear feedbacks drive system behaviour over time — making it a cornerstone tool in policy analysis, organisational modelling, and sustainability research.
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