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유연 모수 생존 모형 (Royston-Parmar)×혼합 생존 모형×
분야생존분석생존분석
계열Survival analysisSurvival analysis
기원 연도20021949
창시자Royston, P. & Parmar, M.K.B.Boag, J. W.
유형Parametric survival regression modelParametric mixture survival model
원전Royston, P. & Parmar, M.K.B. (2002). Flexible Parametric Proportional-Hazards and Proportional-Odds Models for Censored Survival Data, with Application to Prognostic Modelling and Estimation of Treatment Effects. Statistics in Medicine, 21(15), 2175–2197. DOI ↗Boag, J. W. (1949). Maximum Likelihood Estimates of the Proportion of Patients Cured. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society B, 11(1), 15–53. link ↗
별칭flexible parametric model, restricted cubic spline survival model, stpm2, Esnek Parametrik Survival Modeli (Royston-Parmar)cure fraction model, cure rate model, bounded cumulative hazard model, İyileşme Modeli (Mixture Cure Model)
관련82
요약The Royston-Parmar model, introduced by Royston and Parmar in 2002, is a modern parametric approach to survival analysis that replaces the rigid distributional assumptions of classical models with a restricted cubic spline fitted to the log-cumulative-hazard scale. It combines the interpretability of a fully parametric model with the flexibility to capture non-standard hazard shapes, and it supports proportional-hazards, accelerated failure-time, and proportional-odds link functions.The mixture cure model, first proposed by Boag in 1949 for cancer survival data, is a parametric survival model that explicitly accounts for a fraction of subjects who will never experience the event of interest — the so-called cured or immune fraction. It is the appropriate tool whenever the Kaplan-Meier curve levels off into a long, stable plateau rather than continuing to decline, indicating that a proportion of subjects are permanently event-free.
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