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Event Data Analysis×Wordfish Scaling×
분야Political SciencePolitical Science
계열Process / pipelineLatent structure
기원 연도2008
창시자Conflict-studies and computational-social-science traditions (McClelland, Schrodt, King)Jonathan Slapin and Sven-Oliver Proksch
유형Automated coding and analysis of who-did-what-to-whom event recordsUnsupervised latent-position model for word-count data
원전Schrodt, P. A. (2012). Precedents, Progress, and Prospects in Political Event Data. International Interactions, 38(4), 546–569. DOI ↗Slapin, J. B., & Proksch, S.-O. (2008). A Scaling Model for Estimating Time-Series Party Positions from Texts. American Journal of Political Science, 52(3), 705–722. DOI ↗
별칭Event data coding, Political event data, Conflict event data, CAMEO event codingWordfish text scaling, Poisson scaling of texts, Unsupervised text scaling, Wordfish position estimation
관련34
요약Event data analysis converts streams of news reports into structured records of political interactions — who did what to whom, when — and aggregates them into time series of cooperation and conflict between actors. Each event is coded as a source actor, an action type drawn from an ontology such as CAMEO, a target actor, and a date. Modern systems extract these events automatically from millions of news stories, enabling near-real-time measurement of interstate and intrastate behavior for forecasting and analysis.Wordfish scaling is an unsupervised text-as-data method that estimates a single latent position for each political document — a party manifesto, a legislative speech, a press release — directly from its word frequencies, without any reference texts or hand coding. Introduced by Slapin and Proksch in 2008, it models word counts as draws from a Poisson distribution whose rate depends on a document position and word-specific parameters, recovering, for example, a left–right ordering of parties purely from how often each word appears in each text.
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