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Engle-Granger 공적분 검정×Granger 인과관계 검정×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19871969
창시자Robert F. Engle and Clive W. J. GrangerClive W. J. Granger
유형Cointegration testCausality test (F-test on VAR)
원전Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. DOI ↗
별칭EG cointegration test, Engle-Granger two-step method, residual-based cointegration test, EG testGranger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality test
관련55
요약The Engle-Granger two-step method tests whether two or more non-stationary I(1) time series share a common stochastic trend — that is, whether a linear combination of them is stationary. If cointegration is confirmed, an error-correction model (ECM) can be estimated to capture both short-run dynamics and long-run equilibrium adjustment.The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis.
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