방법 비교

	DLinear: 시계열 예측을 위한 분해 선형 모델	ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) 모형	PatchTST	TSMixer: 시계열 예측을 위한 완전 MLP 아키텍처
분야	딥러닝	계량경제학	딥러닝	딥러닝
계열	Machine learning	Regression model	Machine learning	Machine learning
기원 연도	2023	2015	2023	2023
창시자	Ailing Zeng et al.	Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)	Nie, Y. et al.	Si-An Chen et al. (Google)
유형	Decomposition-based linear forecasting model	Univariate time-series model	Transformer for time series forecasting	All-MLP multivariate time-series forecasting model
원전	Zeng, A., Chen, M., Zhang, L., & Xu, Q. (2023). Are transformers effective for time series forecasting? AAAI.	Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021	Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR.	Chen, S.-A., Li, C.-L., Yoder, N., Arik, S. O., & Pfister, T. (2023). TSMixer: An all-MLP architecture for time series forecasting. Transactions on Machine Learning Research.
별칭	Decomposition Linear, DLinear Forecaster, Linear Decomposition Model, Ayrışım Doğrusal Modeli	Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli	PatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformer	All-MLP Time Series Mixer, Time Series Mixer, TSMixer Forecasting Model, Zaman Serisi Karıştırıcı
관련	3	5	3	3
요약	DLinear is a lightweight time series forecasting model introduced by Zeng et al. at AAAI 2023. It challenges the prevailing assumption that Transformer-based architectures are necessary for accurate long-horizon forecasting. The model decomposes an input sequence into trend and seasonal components using a moving average filter, then applies separate single-layer linear transformations to each component before summing their outputs to produce the final forecast.	ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).	PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.	TSMixer is a multivariate time-series forecasting model introduced by Si-An Chen and colleagues at Google in 2023. It challenges the prevailing dominance of Transformer-based architectures by demonstrating that a simple stack of interleaved MLP layers — alternating between mixing along the time axis and mixing across feature channels — achieves strong forecasting accuracy while remaining computationally efficient and easy to interpret architecturally.