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DLinear: 시계열 예측을 위한 분해 선형 모델×ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) 모형×
분야딥러닝계량경제학
계열Machine learningRegression model
기원 연도20232015
창시자Ailing Zeng et al.Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
유형Decomposition-based linear forecasting modelUnivariate time-series model
원전Zeng, A., Chen, M., Zhang, L., & Xu, Q. (2023). Are transformers effective for time series forecasting? AAAI. link ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
별칭Decomposition Linear, DLinear Forecaster, Linear Decomposition Model, Ayrışım Doğrusal ModeliBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
관련35
요약DLinear is a lightweight time series forecasting model introduced by Zeng et al. at AAAI 2023. It challenges the prevailing assumption that Transformer-based architectures are necessary for accurate long-horizon forecasting. The model decomposes an input sequence into trend and seasonal components using a moving average filter, then applies separate single-layer linear transformations to each component before summing their outputs to produce the final forecast.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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