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거리 표본 추출법×Population Viability Analysis×
분야생태학생태학
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19931981
창시자Stephen BucklandMark Shaffer
유형population abundance estimationextinction risk assessment
원전Buckland, S. T., Anderson, D. R., Burnham, K. P., Laake, J. L., Borchers, D. L., & Thomas, L. (1993). Distance Sampling: Estimating Abundance of Biological Populations. Chapman and Hall, London. link ↗Shaffer, M. L. (1981). Minimum population sizes for species conservation. BioScience, 31(2), 131-134. DOI ↗
별칭line transect, point transect, distance estimation, detection probabilityPVA, extinction risk, minimum viable population, MVP
관련44
요약Distance sampling is a statistical method for estimating population abundance from data on distances between observers and detected individuals. Developed by Buckland and colleagues (1993) and formalized in the software Distance, this approach accounts for imperfect detection: animals far from an observer are less likely to be detected. By modeling the detection function (probability of detecting an animal at various distances), distance sampling produces unbiased estimates of abundance and density even when detection is incomplete.Population Viability Analysis (PVA), introduced by Shaffer (1981), estimates the probability that a population will persist over a given time period under specified conditions. PVA combines demographic models (Leslie matrices, IPMs) with stochastic simulation to project population trajectories, quantifying extinction risk. This allows conservation planners to assess whether a population will likely persist, evaluate management scenarios, and estimate the minimum viable population (MVP) size for long-term persistence. PVA is a decision-support tool, not a precise predictor.
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