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분야시뮬레이션시뮬레이션
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19931906
창시자Sonnenberg, F. A. & Beck, J. R.Andrei Markov
유형Cohort state-transition model with fixed transition probabilitiesProbabilistic state-transition model
원전Sonnenberg, F. A., & Beck, J. R. (1993). Markov models in medical decision making: a practical guide. Medical Decision Making, 13(4), 322–338. DOI ↗Norris, J. R. (1997). Markov Chains. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. ISBN: 9780521633963
별칭DMM, Deterministic Markov Chain, Cohort Markov Model, Fixed-Parameter Markov ModelMarkov Chain, Discrete-Time Markov Chain, DTMC, Markov Process
관련55
요약A Deterministic Markov Model is a cohort-level state-transition model in which all transition probabilities, state utilities, and costs are assigned single fixed values and the model is solved analytically in a single pass. Widely used in health technology assessment, policy analysis, and operations research, it traces a hypothetical cohort through mutually exclusive health or system states over discrete time cycles, accumulating expected outcomes such as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) or costs.A Markov Model represents a system as a finite set of states and specifies the probability of moving from one state to another at each time step. By capturing only the current state — not the full history — it enables tractable analysis of complex dynamic processes across health economics, engineering reliability, operations research, and social-science modeling.
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