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결정론적 이산 사건 시뮬레이션×결정론적 마르코프 모델×
분야시뮬레이션시뮬레이션
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도1960s–present1993
창시자Banks, J.; Carson, J. S.; Nelson, B. L. (codified); roots in 1960s simulation pioneers (Tocher, Conway)Sonnenberg, F. A. & Beck, J. R.
유형Simulation — deterministic event-driven modelCohort state-transition model with fixed transition probabilities
원전Banks, J., Carson, J. S., Nelson, B. L., and Nicol, D. M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Prentice Hall. ISBN: 9780136062127Sonnenberg, F. A., & Beck, J. R. (1993). Markov models in medical decision making: a practical guide. Medical Decision Making, 13(4), 322–338. DOI ↗
별칭Deterministic DES, Fixed-Input DES, Non-Stochastic Discrete-Event Simulation, Deterministic Event-Driven SimulationDMM, Deterministic Markov Chain, Cohort Markov Model, Fixed-Parameter Markov Model
관련55
요약Deterministic Discrete-Event Simulation (Deterministic DES) models a system as a sequence of events occurring at precise, pre-specified times using fixed input parameters. Unlike stochastic DES, no probability distributions are sampled; every arrival, service time, and resource availability is known in advance, making runs fully reproducible and producing a single definitive output trajectory.A Deterministic Markov Model is a cohort-level state-transition model in which all transition probabilities, state utilities, and costs are assigned single fixed values and the model is solved analytically in a single pass. Widely used in health technology assessment, policy analysis, and operations research, it traces a hypothetical cohort through mutually exclusive health or system states over discrete time cycles, accumulating expected outcomes such as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) or costs.
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