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Degradation Models×정비 최적화×
분야신뢰성신뢰성
계열Regression modelProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19982002
창시자Meeker, Escobar & LuHongzhou Wang
유형Stochastic degradation path modeldecision optimization framework
원전Meeker, W. Q., Escobar, L. A., & Lu, C. J. (1998). Accelerated degradation tests: modeling and analysis. Technometrics, 40(2), 89–99. DOI ↗Wang, H. (2002). A survey of maintenance policies of deteriorating systems. European Journal of Operational Research, 139(3), 469–489. DOI ↗
별칭Accelerated Degradation Testing, Degradation Path Models, Performance Degradation Analysis, Bozunma ModelleriOptimal Maintenance Policy, Preventive Maintenance Scheduling, Predictive Maintenance Optimization, Bakım Optimizasyonu
관련33
요약Degradation models estimate product lifetime by tracking measurable performance characteristics—such as crack length, light output, or insulation resistance—over time rather than waiting for outright failure. Introduced in rigorous form by Meeker, Escobar, and Lu (1998), these models fit a stochastic degradation path to repeated measurements and define failure as the first time the characteristic crosses a predetermined threshold, enabling reliable lifetime inference from accelerated test data with very few or no observed failures.Maintenance Optimization is a quantitative framework for determining the timing, type, and frequency of maintenance actions—preventive, predictive, or corrective—that minimize total cost or expected downtime over a system's operational life. Systematic formulations were consolidated by Hongzhou Wang (2002), whose survey unified age-replacement, block-replacement, and imperfect-repair policies under a common cost-rate structure applicable to deteriorating systems across engineering and operations management.
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