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Cultural Theory of Risk (Grid-Group Worldview Measurement)×Risk Perception Survey (Psychometric Paradigm)×
분야Environmental SociologyEnvironmental Sociology
계열Latent structureLatent structure
기원 연도19821987
창시자Mary Douglas & Aaron Wildavsky; Karl DakeBaruch Fischhoff & Paul Slovic; Paul Slovic
유형Worldview-scale measurement of risk selectionSurvey-and-factor measurement of perceived risk
원전Douglas, M., & Wildavsky, A. (1982). Risk and Culture: An Essay on the Selection of Technological and Environmental Dangers. University of California Press. ISBN: 9780520044913Slovic, P. (1987). Perception of Risk. Science, 236(4799), 280-285. DOI ↗
별칭Grid-Group Cultural Theory, Cultural Worldviews of Risk, Dake Cultural Bias Scales, Douglas-Wildavsky Risk TheoryPsychometric Paradigm, Perceived Risk Survey, Dread-Unknown Risk Mapping, Slovic Risk Perception Method
관련33
요약The cultural theory of risk holds that what people fear is selected by their way of life rather than by objective danger, and it measures this by scaling respondents' cultural worldviews and relating them to the hazards they choose to worry about. Mary Douglas and Aaron Wildavsky advanced the theory in their 1982 book Risk and Culture, arguing that environmental and technological dangers are picked out to defend particular social arrangements. Karl Dake operationalized it in 1991, building survey scales for the grid-group worldviews — hierarchy, egalitarianism, individualism, and fatalism — and showing that these 'orienting dispositions' predict risk concerns better than knowledge or personality. The framework explains, for instance, why egalitarians dread environmental and technological risks that they read as products of inequitable, irresponsible institutions, while individualists downplay them. As a method it combines worldview measurement with risk-rating data, testing whether cultural bias structures the perception of danger. It complements the psychometric paradigm by explaining who fears what and why.The risk perception survey, or psychometric paradigm, measures how laypeople intuitively judge the riskiness of hazards by having respondents rate many activities and technologies on a battery of qualitative risk characteristics. Baruch Fischhoff, Paul Slovic, and colleagues introduced the approach in their 1978 study 'How Safe Is Safe Enough?', and Slovic's 1987 Science synthesis 'Perception of Risk' established it as the dominant empirical framework for studying risk attitudes. The central finding is that perceived risk is highly predictable from a handful of qualities — above all how dreaded and how unknown a hazard feels — rather than from expert estimates of expected fatalities. Factor analysis of the characteristic ratings collapses the many attributes into a low-dimensional cognitive map, typically a 'dread' and an 'unknown risk' axis, in which each hazard occupies a position. Where a hazard falls in this space predicts public concern, desired regulation, and acceptance far better than its statistical death toll. The method gave environmental and technological controversy a measurable psychological structure and remains foundational to risk communication.
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