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수렴 교차 사상 (Convergent Cross Mapping, CCM)×전이 엔트로피(Transfer Entropy)×
분야인과추론인과추론
계열Machine learningMachine learning
기원 연도20122000
창시자George Sugihara et al.Thomas Schreiber
유형Nonlinear time-series causality testNon-parametric information-theoretic measure
원전Sugihara, G., et al. (2012). Detecting causality in complex ecosystems. Science, 338(6106), 496–500. DOI ↗Schreiber, T. (2000). Measuring information transfer. Physical Review Letters, 85(2), 461–464. DOI ↗
별칭CCM, Cross-Convergent Mapping, Empirical Dynamic Modelling Causality, Yakınsak Çapraz HaritalamaSchreiber Information Transfer, Directed Information Flow, Conditional Mutual Information (directed), Transfer Entropisi
관련33
요약Convergent Cross Mapping (CCM) is a nonlinear, state-space method for detecting causality between time-series variables embedded in a shared dynamical system. Introduced by George Sugihara and colleagues in their landmark 2012 Science paper, CCM exploits Takens' embedding theorem: if variable X causally influences Y, the historical record of Y contains enough information to recover the states of X. Causality is confirmed when cross-map skill improves—converges—as the time-series library grows longer.Transfer Entropy (TE) is a non-parametric, information-theoretic measure of directed statistical dependence between two time series, introduced by Thomas Schreiber in 2000. Grounded in Shannon entropy, it quantifies how much information the past of one process Y reduces uncertainty about the next state of another process X, beyond what X's own past already provides. Unlike linear correlation or Granger causality, TE captures nonlinear interactions and requires no model assumptions about the underlying dynamics.
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