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조건부 위험값(Expected Shortfall)×조건부 분위수 회귀×
분야재무학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도20001978
창시자Rockafellar & Uryasev (2000); Acerbi & Tasche (2002)Koenker & Bassett
유형Coherent tail-risk measureConditional quantile regression
원전Rockafellar, R. T. & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk. Journal of Risk, 2(3), 21-41. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
별칭CVaR, expected shortfall, average value-at-risk, tail VaRconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
관련55
요약Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), also called Expected Shortfall, is a coherent tail-risk measure that quantifies the conditional expectation of losses beyond the Value-at-Risk threshold. It was introduced for optimization by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002), and it has replaced VaR as the regulatory standard under Basel III/IV.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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