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사슬-사다리 손실 준비금 산정 (맥 모델)×부트스트랩 추론×손실 분포 모형×
분야보험계리학통계학보험계리학
계열Regression modelRegression modelRegression model
기원 연도199319792012
창시자Thomas MackBradley EfronKlugman, Panjer & Willmot
유형Stochastic loss reserving modelResampling-based inferenceParametric probability model
원전Mack, T. (1993). Distribution-free calculation of the standard error of chain ladder reserve estimates. ASTIN Bulletin, 23(2), 213–225. DOI ↗Efron, B. (1979). Bootstrap Methods: Another Look at the Jackknife. Annals of Statistics, 7(1), 1-26. DOI ↗Klugman, S. A., Panjer, H. H., & Willmot, G. E. (2012). Loss Models: From Data to Decisions (4th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1-118-31532-3
별칭Development Factor Method, Link Ratio Method, Loss Development Method, Zincir Merdiven Yöntemibootstrap, bootstrap resampling, nonparametric bootstrap, Bootstrap ÇıkarımıSeverity-Frequency Model, Aggregate Loss Model, Claim Size Distribution Model, Hasar Dağılımı Modeli
관련353
요약Chain-Ladder Reserving is a stochastic actuarial method for estimating outstanding claim liabilities from a run-off triangle of cumulative paid losses. Formalized by Thomas Mack in 1993, it provides distribution-free estimates of reserve amounts along with their standard errors, making it a cornerstone of property-casualty insurance reserving and regulatory practice worldwide.Bootstrap inference, introduced by Bradley Efron in 1979, estimates the sampling distribution of a statistic by repeatedly resampling the observed data with replacement. It requires no distributional assumption and produces reliable confidence intervals even in small samples.A Loss Distribution Model is a parametric statistical framework used in actuarial science to characterise the probabilistic behaviour of insurance claim amounts and frequencies. Developed comprehensively by Klugman, Panjer, and Willmot in their foundational text Loss Models: From Data to Decisions (first edition 1998, fourth edition 2012), these models underpin premium rating, reserving, reinsurance pricing, and regulatory capital calculations across the insurance and risk-management industries.
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ScholarGate방법 비교: Chain-Ladder Reserving · Bootstrap Inference · Loss Distribution Model. 2026-06-19에 다음에서 검색함: https://scholargate.app/ko/compare