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분산에서의 인과관계 검정×컴포넌트 GARCH×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19961999
창시자Yin-Wong Cheung and Lilian NgEngle and Lee
유형Conditional variance testDecomposed variance model
원전Cheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗
별칭Volatility spillover testVolatility components model
관련33
요약The causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.
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ScholarGate방법 비교: Causality in Variance Test · Component GARCH. 2026-06-17에 다음에서 검색함: https://scholargate.app/ko/compare