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포획-재포획 개체수 추정×Crime Concentration Index×
분야조사방법론Criminology
계열Regression modelProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19781989
창시자Otis, Burnham, White & AndersonLawrence Sherman, Patrick Gartin & Michael Buerger; David Weisburd
유형Probabilistic population size estimatorDescriptive concentration measure for crime across micro-places
원전Otis, D. L., Burnham, K. P., White, G. C., & Anderson, D. R. (1978). Statistical inference from capture data on closed animal populations. Wildlife Monographs, 62, 3–135. link ↗Sherman, L. W., Gartin, P. R., & Buerger, M. E. (1989). Hot spots of predatory crime: Routine activities and the criminology of place. Criminology, 27(1), 27–56. DOI ↗
별칭Mark-Recapture, Tag-Recapture, Mark-Release-Recapture, İşaretle-Yeniden YakalaCrime Concentration at Place, Hot-Spot Concentration Measure, Cumulative Crime Concentration, Law of Crime Concentration
관련24
요약Capture-recapture (also known as mark-recapture) is a statistical method for estimating the size of an unknown population by sampling it twice and tracking which individuals appear in both samples. Formally systematized for closed animal populations by Otis, Burnham, White, and Anderson in their landmark 1978 Wildlife Monographs paper, the method extends naturally to human populations, epidemiology, and incomplete administrative records.The crime concentration index quantifies how unevenly crime is distributed across micro-geographic places such as street segments or addresses. Building on Sherman, Gartin, and Buerger's 1989 discovery that a small fraction of addresses produces most calls for police service, and formalized in Weisburd's 2015 'law of crime concentration', it expresses the share of all crime accounted for by the most crime-prone places.
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