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베이지안 벡터 자기회귀 (BVAR)×최소제곱법(OLS) 회귀×
분야계량경제학계량경제학
계열Regression modelRegression model
기원 연도19862019
창시자Litterman (1986); Bańbura, Giannone & Reichlin (2010)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares
유형Bayesian multivariate time-series modelLinear regression
원전Litterman, R. B. (1986). Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 4(1), 25-38. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860
별칭BVAR, Bayesian vector autoregression, Minnesota prior VAR, Bayesian VAR (BVAR)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu
관련55
요약Bayesian VAR adds Minnesota or other prior distributions to a vector autoregressive model to control over-parameterisation. Introduced by Litterman (1986) and extended to high dimensions by Bańbura, Giannone and Reichlin (2010), it outperforms classical VAR on short series and high-dimensional macroeconomic forecasts.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).
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