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Brass Growth Balance Method×생명표 분석×
분야인구학인구학
계열Process / pipelineSurvival analysis
기원 연도19751984
창시자William BrassDemographic/actuarial tradition; Chiang
유형Death distribution method for estimating the completeness of death registrationAge-structured mortality estimator
원전Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512Chiang, C. L. (1984). The Life Table and Its Applications. Robert E. Krieger Publishing. ISBN: 978-0-89874-565-2
별칭Brass growth balance equation, GBM, Death registration completeness estimation, Brass Büyüme Dengesi YöntemiMortality Table, Actuarial Table, Survival Table, Yaşam Tablosu
관련43
요약The Brass growth balance method estimates how complete a country's death registration is when vital statistics are incomplete but a census age distribution exists. Developed by William Brass in 1975, it rests on a simple demographic accounting identity applied above every age: in a stable population the rate at which people enter an open-ended age group must equal the population growth rate plus the rate at which they leave it by dying. Plotting the entry rate against the observed death rate above each age yields a straight line whose slope reveals the fraction of deaths actually registered.A life table is a systematic, age-structured summary of the mortality experience of a population. It traces a hypothetical cohort of births — conventionally 100,000 — through successive age intervals, recording how many survive, how many die, and how many person-years are lived at each interval. The method was formalized in its modern probabilistic form by Chiang (1984), synthesizing centuries of actuarial and demographic practice into a rigorous statistical framework applicable to human and biological populations alike.
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