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| 인과관계에 대한 베이즈 민감도 분석× | 이중 강건 추정 (AIPW)× | |
|---|---|---|
| 분야 | 인과추론 | 인과추론 |
| 계열 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 기원 연도≠ | 2000s–2010s | 2005 |
| 창시자≠ | McCandless, Gustafson & Austin (2007); Gustafson (2015) | Robins & Rotnitzky; Bang & Robins |
| 유형≠ | Bayesian causal sensitivity analysis | Semiparametric causal estimator |
| 원전≠ | McCandless, L. C., Gustafson, P., & Austin, P. C. (2007). Bayesian propensity score analysis for observational data. Statistics in Medicine, 26(8), 1704-1718. DOI ↗ | Robins, J. M. & Rotnitzky, A. (1995). Semiparametric Efficiency in Multivariate Regression Models with Missing Data. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 90(429), 122-129. DOI ↗ |
| 별칭 | Bayesian sensitivity analysis, Bayesian bias analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis for confounding, Bayesian unmeasured confounding analysis | AIPW, augmented inverse probability weighting, doubly robust estimator, Çift Gürbüz Kestirici (Augmented IPW / AIPW) |
| 관련≠ | 6 | 5 |
| 요약≠ | Bayesian sensitivity analysis for causality quantifies how much an unmeasured confounder would need to influence both treatment assignment and outcome to overturn a causal conclusion. Rather than testing a single worst-case scenario, it places prior distributions over the strength of hidden confounding, propagates uncertainty through a full Bayesian model, and reports a posterior distribution for the causal effect that honestly reflects what is and is not identified from observed data. | Doubly Robust Estimation, also called Augmented Inverse Probability Weighting (AIPW), is a semiparametric method for estimating causal treatment effects that combines an outcome regression model with a propensity (treatment) model. Developed in the work of Robins & Rotnitzky (1995) and Bang & Robins (2005), it stays consistent as long as at least one of the two models is correctly specified. |
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