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베이즈 카플란-마이어 분석×Kaplan-Meier 분석×
분야역학역학
계열Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
기원 연도19761958
창시자Susarla & Van Ryzin (Bayesian nonparametric survival estimation)Edward L. Kaplan and Paul Meier
유형Bayesian nonparametric survival analysisNonparametric survival estimator
원전Susarla, V., & Van Ryzin, J. (1976). Nonparametric Bayesian estimation of survival curves from incomplete observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 71(356), 897–902. DOI ↗Kaplan, E. L., & Meier, P. (1958). Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 53(282), 457–481. DOI ↗
별칭Bayesian survival curve estimation, Bayesian nonparametric survival analysis, Dirichlet process Kaplan-Meier, BKMKM analysis, KM estimator, product-limit estimator, Kaplan-Meier curve
관련45
요약Bayesian Kaplan-Meier analysis extends the classical Kaplan-Meier estimator by placing a prior distribution over the survival function and updating it with observed time-to-event data to obtain a full posterior distribution for the survival curve. This approach, rooted in Susarla and Van Ryzin's 1976 Dirichlet-process framework, yields credible intervals rather than confidence intervals and enables coherent incorporation of prior clinical knowledge, making it particularly valuable in small-sample or early-phase clinical settings.Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis is a nonparametric method for estimating the survival function from time-to-event data. Introduced by Kaplan and Meier in 1958, it produces the classic step-function survival curve that shows the probability of surviving beyond each observed event time, correctly accounting for censored observations — participants who left the study or had not yet experienced the event by the end of follow-up. It is one of the most widely used techniques in clinical and epidemiological research.
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